SHR2 - ADVANCES IN SEISMIC HAZARD ANALYSIS
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SHR2 - ADVANCES IN SEISMIC HAZARD ANALYSIS |
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| MONDAY | ||||||||
| AMBER 5 | Convenors: M. Pagani, M.D. Petersen, M.C. Gerstenberger | ||||||||
| 10:30 - 10:35 | INTRODUCTION | |||||||
| 10:35 - 10:50 | EARTHQUAKE RUPTURE FORECAST DEVELOPMENTS AT THE USGS E. Field | |||||||
| 10:50 - 11:05 | APPLICATION OF NON-ERGODIC GROUND-MOTION MODELS IN PROBABILISTIC SEISMIC HAZARD ANALYSES N. Abrahamson | |||||||
| 11:05 - 11:15 | EVALUATION OF GROUND-MOTION MODELS FOR HIMALAYAN REGION S. Sharma, U. Mannu, S. Bora | |||||||
| 11:15 - 11:25 | SEISMIC HAZARD OF THE SAN RAMON FAULT CONSIDERING POISSONIAN AND NON-POISSONIAN RECURRENCE MODELS H. Dominguez, P. Heresi | |||||||
| 11:25 - 11:35 | RECOMMENDATIONS ON BEST AVAILABLE SCIENCE FOR THE UNITED STATES NATIONAL SEISMIC HAZARD MODEL J.G. Anderson, G. Atkinson, J. Baker, K. Campbell, H. DeShon, T. Jordan, K. Kelson, N. Shome, J. Stewart | |||||||
| 11:35 - 11:45 | DISCUSSION | |||||||
| MONITOR 24 | Convenors: M. Pagani, M.D. Petersen, M.C. Gerstenberger | ||||||||
| 14:30 - 14:40 | A LINKED FAULT MODEL FOR MAINLAND CHINA CONSTRAINED USING GPS DATA Y. Rong, Z. Shen, G. Chen, H. Magistrale | |||||||
| 14:40 - 14:50 | APPROACH TO PSHA OF RESPONSE SPECTRA FOR JAPAN: PROVISIONAL STUDY FOR TOKYO, NAGOYA, AND OSAKA Y. Dohi, N. Shigeno, N. Morikawa, H. Fujiwara | |||||||
| 14:50 - 15:00 | BACKBONE GROUND-MOTION PREDICTION MODELS FOR 2024 EARTHQUAKE MODEL OF THE MIDDLE EAST (EMME2024) O. Kale, L. Danciu, M.A. Sandikkaya, S. Akkar, A. Askan, C. Beauval, M. Pagani, K. Sesetyan, A. Ansari | |||||||
| 15:00 - 15:10 | COMPARISON OF PFDHA RESULTS OBTAINED FROM EARTHQUAKE AND DISPLACEMENT APPROACHES E. Fiorini, F. Nurminen, A. Todrani, W. Johnson, J. Contet | |||||||
| 15:10 - 15:20 | FRAMEWORK FOR IMPLEMENTING DAMPING SCALING FACTORS IN U.S. GEOLOGICAL SURVEY NATIONAL SEISMIC HAZARD MODELS A. Makdisi, D. Smith, S. Rezaeian, P. Powers, K. Withers | |||||||
| 15:20 - 15:30 | IMPACT OF BASIN AMPLIFICATION FACTORS ON THE PSHA ANALYSIS IN THE CHIANG MAI BASIN (THAILAND) T. Ornthammarath, P. Warnitchai, N. Poovarodom | |||||||
| 15:30 - 15:40 | IMPLEMENTATION OF THE U.S. GEOLOGICAL SURVEY NATIONAL SEISMIC HAZARD MODEL P. Powers, J. Altekruse, B. Clayton, S. Allison | |||||||
| 15:40 - 15:45 | DISCUSSION | |||||||
| MONITOR 25 | Convenors: M. Pagani, M.D. Petersen, M.C. Gerstenberger | ||||||||
| 14:30 - 14:40 | A NEW PSHA METHOD USING HYBRID SOURCE MODELS: FAULT AND AREA ZONE MOMENT SHEARING (FAMS) M.B. Benito, A. Rivas, C. GAmboa, A. Ornelas, M. Arroyo, L. Quiros, C. Lindholm | |||||||
| 14:40 - 14:50 | INFLUENCE OF FAULTING STYLE ON THE DIRECTIONALITY OF EARTHQUAKE RESPONSE SPECTRA A. Poulos, E. Miranda | |||||||
| 14:50 - 15:00 | A PROBABILISTIC SEISMIC HAZARD ANALYSIS FOR THE PO PLAIN SEDIMENTARY BASIN (ITALY) S. Barani, C. Mascandola, A. Akinci, M. Taroni, D. Albarello | |||||||
| 15:00 - 15:10 | APPLICATION OF EQUIVALENT HYPOCENTRAL DISTANCE FOR SEISMIC HAZARD ASSESSMENT Y. Jiao, N. Nojima | |||||||
| 15:10 - 15:20 | FEASIBILITY OF SHORT-TERM SEISMIC HAZARD FORECASTING FOR AFTERSHOCK SEQUENCES IN SOUTHWEST ICELAND A. Darzi, B. Halldorsson, F. Cotton, B. Hrafnkelsson | |||||||
| 15:20 - 15:30 | A PARTIALLY NONERGODIC GROUND-MOTION MODEL FOR FOURIER AMPLITUDE SPECTRA FOR THE SAN FRANCISCO BAY AREA, CALIFORNIA, USA M. Moschetti, E. Thompson | |||||||
| 15:30 - 15:40 | MAPPING PEAK GROUND AND SPECTRAL ACCELERATIONS IN THE IBERO-MAGHREB REGION M. Mobarki, A. Talbi, F. Bellalem | |||||||
| 15:40 - 15:45 | DISCUSSION | |||||||
| MONITOR 26 | Convenors: M. Pagani, M.D. Petersen, M.C. Gerstenberger | ||||||||
| 14:30 - 14:40 | ANISOTROPIC SPATIAL CORRELATION MODEL OF VS30 VALUES FOR SEISMIC HAZARD ASSESSMENT STUDIES IN URMIA A. FathiAzar, M. Bastami, M. Abbasnejadfard, A. Noorollahi | |||||||
| 14:40 - 14:50 | MAPPING SEISMIC HAZARD FOR SITES IN MAINLAND CHINA USING A SET OF PROJECTED GROUND MOTION MODELS C. Feng, H.P. Hong, W.J. Xu | |||||||
| 14:50 - 15:00 | METHODS TO EVALUATE AND IMPROVE THE MODELING OF RUPTURE DIRECTIVITY IN ASSESSMENT OF SEISMIC HAZARD K. Withers, B. Kelly, J. Bayless, M. Moschetti, P. Powers | |||||||
| 15:00 - 15:10 | NEAR-SOURCE PROBABILISTIC SEISMIC HAZARD ANALYSIS AT REGGIO CALABRIA-MESSINA BRIDGE FOUNDATION SITES E. Chioccarelli, P. Cito, I. Iervolino | |||||||
| 15:10 - 15:20 | NEW SEISMICITY BASED SEISMIC SOURCES AND HAZARD MODEL FOR PERU Z. Aguilar Bardales, J.C. Tarazona Gonzales | |||||||
| 15:20 - 15:30 | PHYSICS-BASED DESIGN EARTHQUAKE HAZARD FOR NEAR-FAULT REGIONS R. Stg, S. D, T. Chandra, J. Dk, A. Tiwari, M. Cvr | |||||||
| 15:30 - 15:40 | PROBABILISTIC ANALYSIS OF SEISMIC HAZARD IN DOM. REP. CONSIDERING HYBRID MODELS OF ZONE AND FAULTS C. Germoso, A. Rivas, B. Benito, D. Cordoba, J. Aracena, C. Gamboa | |||||||
| 15:40 - 15:45 | DISCUSSION | |||||||
| TUESDAY | ||||||||
| AMBER 5 | Convenors: M. Pagani, M.D. Petersen, M.C. Gerstenberger | ||||||||
| 09:00 - 09:15 | ADVANCEMENTS IN IMPROVING SEISMIC HAZARD ASSESSMENT FOR JAPAN H. Fujiwara, N. Morikawa, S. Senna, T. Maeda, A. Iwaki, S. Kawai, S. Aoi, K.X. Hao | |||||||
| 09:15 - 09:30 | NATIONAL SEISMIC HAZARD ASSESSMENTS IN CANADA: APPLICATIONS, PROGRESS AND FUTURE CHALLENGES M. Kolaj, S. Halchuk, J. Adams, T. Hobbs | |||||||
| 09:30 - 09:45 | THE 2023 UPDATE TO THE AUSTRALIAN NATIONAL SEISMIC HAZARD ASSESSMENT: PHILOSOPHY AND MODEL CHANGES T. Allen, J. Griffin, D. Clark, P. Cummins, H. Ghasemi, R. Ebrahimi, S. Martin | |||||||
| 09:45 - 09:55 | GEM'S GLOBAL SEISMIC HAZARD MOSAIC: UPDATES SINCE V2018, APPLICATIONS, AND UPCOMING ACTIVITIES K. Johnson, M. Villani, K. Bayliss, C. Brooks, A. Rood, R. Styron, M. Simionato, M. Pagani | |||||||
| 09:55 - 10:05 | APPLICATION OF SITE SPECIFIC PARTIALLY NON-ERGODIC PSHA FOR REFERENCE SOIL NEAR KEDDARA DAM IN ALGERIA. F. Gherboudj, T. Ouzandja, R. Bensalem | |||||||
| 10:05 - 10:15 | THE 2024 UPDATE OF THE EARTHQUAKE MODEL OF THE MIDDLE EAST (EMME24) - A COMMUNITY EFFORT L. Danciu, K. Sesetyan, D. Giardini, R. Basili, M. Stucchi, A. Rovida, O. Kale, A. Sandikkaya, A. Elias, N. Tsereteli, F.E. Maesano, C. Beauval, R. Styron, M. Pagani, M. Erdik, M. Zare, L. Gulen, S. Akkar, A. Gomez-Capera, M.M. Tiberti, S. Khan, A. Askan, M. Brax, Y. Klinger, M. Waseem, S. Ceylan, M. Demircioglu, H. Yalcin, T.E. Azak, EMME24 Working Group | |||||||
| MONITOR 21 | Convenors: M. Pagani, M.D. Petersen, M.C. Gerstenberger | ||||||||
| 10:30 - 10:40 | PROBABILISTIC SEISMIC HAZARD ANALYSIS FOR THE MIDDLE EAST REGION B. Shentu, W. Yang, S. Shabesteri | |||||||
| 10:40 - 10:50 | PROBABILISTIC SEISMIC HAZARD ANALYSIS FOR THE URBAN AREAS MOST AFFECTED BY DURRES 2019 MW6.4 EVENT E. Xhafaj, K. Ma, C. Chan, J. Gao | |||||||
| 10:50 - 11:00 | PROBABILISTIC SEISMIC HAZARD ANALYSIS OF KATHMANDU VALLEY D. Chapagain, D.K. Maharjan, S.M. Bijukcheen | |||||||
| 11:00 - 11:10 | PROBABILISTIC SEISMIC HAZARD MAP OF PEAK GROUND ACCELERATION AND RESPONSE SPECTRA FOR JAPAN J. Miyakoshi, N. Morikawa, H. Fujiwara | |||||||
| 11:10 - 11:20 | PROBABILISTIC SEISMIC HAZARD ASSESSMENT IN PENINSULAR INDIA USING THE ELASTIC INPUT ENERGY SPECTRA M. Yellapragada, R. Stg | |||||||
| 11:20 - 11:30 | QUANTIFICATION OF ROLE OF BASEMENT FOCUSING EFFECTS ON DYNAMIC RESPONSE OF STANDALONE BUILDINGS J.P. Narayan, R. Bheesma | |||||||
| 11:30 - 11:40 | REGIONAL AND DEPTH VARIATIONS IN SOURCE SCALING PROPERTIES FOR SUBDUCTION EARTHQUAKES Y. Guo, K. Miyakoshi, K. Irikura | |||||||
| 11:40 - 11:45 | DISCUSSION | |||||||
| MONITOR 22 | Convenors: M. Pagani, M.D. Petersen, M.C. Gerstenberger | ||||||||
| 10:30 - 10:40 | REGIONAL EARTHQUAKE MAGNITUDE CONVERSION RELATIONS FOR PENINSULAR INDIA A. Das, D. Choudhury | |||||||
| 10:40 - 10:50 | REGIONAL PROBABILISTIC SEISMIC HAZARD ASSESSMENT OF TUNISIA E. Jarraya, R. Ghanem, O. Ben Mekki, S. Montassar | |||||||
| 10:50 - 11:00 | SEISMIC HAZARD ANALYSIS FOR THE TDC2/TCC2 FACILITY AT CERN: A MULTIVARIATE GEOSTATISTICAL APPROACH E. Alakbarli, M. Andreini, Y. Kadi, S. La Mendola, A. Liberta, M. Guarascio | |||||||
| 11:00 - 11:10 | SEISMIC HAZARD ASSESSMENT FOR NORTH MACEDONIA R. Salic Makreska, Z. Milutinovic, D. Dragojevic, D. Tomic, Z. Neziri, M. Dimitrovski, J. Trajcevski | |||||||
| 11:10 - 11:20 | SEISMIC HAZARD ASSESSMENT OF ACTIVE FAULTS IN SICHUAN-YUNNAN AREA, CHINA USING SCENARIO EARTHQUAKES J. Liu, Y. Du | |||||||
| 11:20 - 11:30 | SEISMICITY OF NEPAL BASED ON EVALUATION OF EARTHQUAKE CATALOGUES S.N. Shrestha, P. Rawal, D.K. Maharjan | |||||||
| 11:30 - 11:40 | SEISMOGENIC ZONE DIMENSION INFLUENCE FOR THE PROBABILISTIC SEISMIC HAZARD ASSESSMENT IN THE HIMALAYA J. Das, C. Lallawmawma, M.L. Sharma | |||||||
| 11:40 - 11:45 | DISCUSSION | |||||||
| MONITOR 23 | Convenors: M. Pagani, M.D. Petersen, M.C. Gerstenberger | ||||||||
| 10:30 - 10:40 | SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS IN PSHA USING DIFFERENT HYBRID SOURCE MODELS (FAULTS + ZONES) IN SOUTHERN SPAIN A.F. Ornelas-Agrela, M.B. Benito, L. Quirós-Hernández, A. Rivas-Medina | |||||||
| 10:40 - 10:50 | SIMULATING EARTHQUAKE-INDUCED WAVE PROPAGATION WITH GPU-ACCELERATED COMPUTING J. Palacios, A. Tarrillo, K. Fujita, M. Diaz, C. Zavala, I. Inocente | |||||||
| 10:50 - 11:00 | SMOOTH SEISMICITY MODELS FOR SEISMIC HAZARD ASSESSMENT BASED ON VORONOI DIAGRAMS G. Daniel, P. Arroucau | |||||||
| 11:00 - 11:10 | STUDY ON THE OCCURRENCE RATE OF MAJOR EARTHQUAKES IN XINJIANG BASED ON TIME-DEPENDENT MODEL C. Li | |||||||
| 11:10 - 11:20 | SURFACE RUPTURE PROBABILITY ON DIP SLIP FAULTS: A PRELIMINARY ANALYTICAL APPROACH L. Mammarella, F. Visini, P. Boncio, S. Baize, O. Scotti, C. Beauval, B. Pace, S. Thompson | |||||||
| 11:20 - 11:30 | TIME-DEPENDENT SEISMIC HAZARD ASSESSMENT. A CASE STUDY FOR SOUTH-EASTERN SPAIN AND CENTRAL ITALY D. Montiel-López, S. Molina, J.J. Galiana-Merino, I. Gómez, A. Kharazian, J.L. Soler-Llorens, A. Guardiola-Villora, J.A. Huesca-Tortosa, G. Ortuño-Sáez | |||||||
| 11:30 - 11:40 | TOWARDS A BETTER ASSESSMENT OF THE SEISMIC HAZARD FOR GUATEMALA CITY INCLUDING DIRECTIVITY EFFECTS R. Torres, C. Frau | |||||||
| 11:40 - 11:50 | TOWARDS PHYSICS BASED PSHA FOR SOUTHWEST ICELAND M. Kowsari, F. Bayat, B. Halldorsson | |||||||
| AMBER 5 | Convenors: M. Pagani, M.D. Petersen, M.C. Gerstenberger | ||||||||
| 14:30 - 14:43 | IMPACTS OF CLUSTERING EVENTS ON PROBABILISTIC SEISMIC HAZARD ASSESSMENT: A CASE STUDY IN TAIWAN C. Chan, H. Huang, Y. Hsu | |||||||
| 14:43 - 14:55 | RECENT DEVELOPMENT OF SEISMIC SOURCE AND HAZARD MAPS OF INDONESIA FOR EARTHQUAKE RESISTANT DESIGN M. Irsyam, S. Widiyantoro, L. Faizal, N.R. Hanifa, D.H. Natawidjaja, W. Triyoso, A.D. Nugraha, I. Meilano, M. Asrurifak, S. Pramono, F. Aldiamar, H. Hendarto, E. Gunawan, S. Rosalia, P. Supendi, M. Daryono, A. Patria, S. Ariwibowo, S. Sapiie, G.H. Pramono, A. Agustan, C. Pratama, S. Rahmadani, A.F. Shomim, D. Herfiani, P.R. Cummins, W. Sengara, M. Pagani, E. Hussain, H. Hendriyawan | |||||||
| 14:55 - 15:05 | 2023 U.S. 50-STATE NATIONAL SEISMIC HAZARD MODEL M. Petersen, A. Shumway, P. Powers, K. Milner, M. Moschetti, K. Jaiswal, J. Altekruz, K. Rukstales, S. Rezaeian, O. Boyd, J. Rubinstein, A. Llenos, D. Girot, J. Herrick, N. Kwong | |||||||
| 15:05 - 15:15 | THE 2022 NEW ZEALAND NATIONAL SEISMIC HAZARD MODEL REVISION M. Gerstenberger, S. Bora, B. Bradley, C. DiCaprio, A. Kaiser, A. Nicol, M. Stirling, K. Thingbaijam, R. Van Dissen | |||||||
| 15:15 - 15:25 | A COMPREHENSIVE FOURIER-BASED PSHA OF MEXICO CITY M. Ordaz, D. Arroyo, S.K. Singh, M. Salgado-Gálvez | |||||||
| 15:25 - 15:35 | PSHA APPLIED IN CENTRAL AMERICA USING SOURCE HYBRID MODELS. SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS OF RESULTS. C. Gamboa-Canté, A. Rivas-Medina, M. Arroyo-Solórzano, B. Benito | |||||||
| 15:35 - 15:45 | MODELING TIME DEPENDENT EARTHQUAKE OCCURRENCES ON FAULTS: EXAMPLES FROM RECENT PSHA STUDIES V. Montaldo Falero, R. Youngs | |||||||
